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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+2.12vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.16+0.64vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+2.23vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-0.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08-0.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.94-4.03vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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2.64Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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3.2Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.21Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.97Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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6.62University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 20.3% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 26.8% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 47.0% | 13.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 18.4% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| John Duncan | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 25.7% | 20.0% | 4.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 20.7% | 22.5% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 10.9% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.