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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+2.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+0.95vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16-0.36vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-0.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+0.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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2.95Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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2.64Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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3.19Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 18.8% | 21.2% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 0.7% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 23.2% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 26.9% | 24.2% | 22.5% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 19.1% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 7.2% | 0.4% |
| John Duncan | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 28.8% | 19.3% | 3.3% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 9.1% | 84.2% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 48.3% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.