← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College1.48+1.94vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.24+1.27vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.94+0.71vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.43-2.08vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida-0.50+0.56vs Predicted
-
6Florida Institute of Technology0.57-1.78vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University-1.49-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94Rollins College1.480.2%1st Place
-
3.27Eckerd College1.240.1%1st Place
-
3.71University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
-
1.92Eckerd College2.430.5%1st Place
-
5.56University of South Florida-0.500.0%1st Place
-
4.22Florida Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
-
6.37Embry-Riddle University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathon Norcross | 19.7% | 23.6% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Michael Hemberger | 13.8% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 20.7% | 16.5% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Kimberly Calnan | 10.5% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 11.1% | 2.4% |
| Walker Banks | 46.2% | 28.1% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mike Hartley | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 15.9% | 42.7% | 24.0% |
| Sean Vandedrinck | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 27.1% | 18.3% | 4.1% |
| Case Aubin | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 17.7% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.