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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+1.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08+1.19vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.16-1.30vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-1.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.15University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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4.19Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.7Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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3.19Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 24.6% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 17.8% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| John Duncan | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 28.3% | 18.3% | 4.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 27.3% | 22.9% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.2% | 21.5% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 47.7% | 13.0% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 11.3% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.