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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.08+3.10vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.16+0.66vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.77-0.77vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-1.82vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.66Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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2.95Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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3.18Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Duncan | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 3.8% |
| Peter Christensen | 27.6% | 24.0% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 21.4% | 21.0% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 18.1% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 18.0% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 48.1% | 13.5% |
| Hanna Desilets | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.