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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+2.01vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+3.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.77-0.65vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.16-2.21vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.82-2.78vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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2.79Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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3.22Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.66University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 21.8% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 51.1% | 13.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 12.0% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 12.9% | 1.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 17.2% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 8.8% | 0.8% |
| Peter Christensen | 25.2% | 24.3% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 19.0% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 8.1% | 0.8% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.