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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+1.26vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16-0.24vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-0.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52-1.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.26University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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2.76Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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3.28Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 22.2% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 17.0% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 0.9% |
| Peter Christensen | 26.1% | 22.3% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 18.1% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 7.2% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 12.0% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 12.9% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 49.7% | 14.4% |
| Hanna Desilets | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.