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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.52+2.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+1.03vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82+0.26vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.16-1.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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3.03Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.26Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.79Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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5.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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3.31University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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6.65University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Lenz | 15.2% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 12.2% | 1.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 20.2% | 21.3% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.6% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 25.4% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 51.1% | 14.7% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 18.0% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 0.9% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 11.1% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.