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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+2.45vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.16+0.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+0.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52-1.22vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94-2.75vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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2.81Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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4.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.38Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 15.5% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 14.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 26.4% | 22.0% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| Braden Foster | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 33.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 20.6% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 18.6% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.5% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.