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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+2.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.52+1.75vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16-0.18vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-0.64vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-0.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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2.82Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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3.36Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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3.17Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 15.3% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 15.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 13.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 21.3% | 20.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 26.4% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 10.9% |
| Braden Foster | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 38.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 19.8% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.