Race 1A

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Dockstader 6.5% 8.9% 10.9% 11.4% 13.2% 11.8% 12.3% 10.7% 7.9% 4.7% 1.7%
John Bennet 3.0% 4.0% 4.1% 6.6% 5.5% 8.6% 9.0% 12.0% 13.4% 17.7% 16.1%
Blake Utz 7.5% 8.1% 9.1% 9.6% 11.5% 11.4% 10.8% 12.8% 9.2% 6.8% 3.2%
Henry Sanders 9.2% 11.1% 12.5% 13.5% 12.8% 13.1% 9.5% 8.2% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
Charles Rogers 3.9% 4.9% 6.1% 4.5% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 11.1% 13.5% 14.3% 14.2%
Nicholas Brady 34.6% 24.6% 15.4% 11.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
William Lewis 15.1% 16.1% 15.5% 14.1% 11.7% 8.9% 7.5% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8%
Kevan Pigott 3.3% 3.1% 4.6% 5.2% 6.4% 8.1% 10.9% 9.9% 13.2% 15.6% 19.7%
Chris Somero 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 11.0% 14.4% 17.0% 22.1%
Luke LeCoche 2.8% 4.1% 5.0% 6.5% 6.0% 6.9% 10.1% 10.7% 12.4% 15.5% 20.0%
Drew Blackburn 11.1% 11.4% 12.8% 13.1% 12.6% 10.6% 9.8% 7.5% 6.3% 3.7% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.