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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.02+3.79vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.24+3.33vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.09+1.15vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.25-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.04+1.25vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.34-1.64vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.29-0.33vs Predicted
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9Denison University-1.18-1.36vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-1.62-1.60vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.27-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.33North Carolina State University-0.240.1%1st Place
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2.63Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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5.15University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.18Ohio State University0.250.2%1st Place
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7.25University of Michigan-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.36Western Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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7.67Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.64Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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8.4Ohio State University-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.61Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Brady | 32.1% | 25.0% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| William Lewis | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Charles Rogers | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 11.8% |
| Blake Utz | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Chris Somero | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| John Bennet | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.6% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 32.1% |
| Kevan Pigott | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.