Race 3A

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Henry Sanders 9.3% 11.0% 14.1% 12.9% 11.3% 14.2% 12.0% 7.4% 4.8% 2.0% 1.0%
Matthew Dockstader 7.8% 10.4% 11.0% 12.2% 11.2% 11.5% 10.5% 10.3% 8.3% 4.8% 2.0%
William Lewis 11.9% 15.2% 13.9% 15.2% 11.6% 11.9% 9.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Kevan Pigott 2.4% 3.3% 3.6% 4.7% 6.6% 6.7% 5.4% 13.2% 14.9% 16.7% 22.5%
Drew Blackburn 9.9% 11.3% 13.2% 11.4% 11.5% 10.3% 11.3% 9.1% 5.8% 4.4% 1.8%
Blake Utz 6.8% 10.7% 9.5% 9.5% 11.5% 11.3% 12.4% 10.6% 8.2% 5.6% 3.9%
Nicholas Brady 38.2% 23.1% 15.0% 11.8% 6.0% 2.9% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Rogers 4.5% 4.1% 5.1% 6.6% 8.2% 9.7% 11.8% 10.3% 13.1% 13.7% 12.9%
John Bennet 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 4.4% 8.0% 6.5% 8.2% 12.8% 14.2% 16.9% 17.5%
Luke LeCoche 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 6.3% 6.5% 8.1% 8.4% 9.6% 13.2% 16.7% 19.9%
Chris Somero 2.8% 3.0% 6.1% 5.0% 7.6% 6.9% 9.4% 10.1% 13.7% 17.3% 18.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.