Race 4A

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Chris Somero 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.4% 6.0% 7.6% 8.6% 12.1% 15.5% 18.3% 17.6%
Matthew Dockstader 7.6% 10.2% 12.1% 10.4% 13.5% 12.5% 9.3% 10.6% 8.3% 3.8% 1.7%
Henry Sanders 9.6% 12.2% 12.8% 13.5% 12.7% 12.1% 10.0% 7.5% 6.0% 2.9% 0.7%
Drew Blackburn 8.9% 9.8% 11.9% 11.2% 14.2% 12.1% 12.3% 8.3% 6.0% 3.7% 1.6%
Charles Rogers 3.8% 4.9% 5.2% 7.4% 8.3% 8.5% 9.4% 12.9% 12.6% 15.0% 12.0%
Blake Utz 7.7% 8.1% 11.2% 10.1% 11.8% 11.6% 12.5% 10.0% 6.9% 6.6% 3.5%
Nicholas Brady 37.8% 24.0% 14.4% 12.3% 6.4% 1.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
William Lewis 14.2% 16.9% 15.4% 14.7% 10.1% 11.2% 8.3% 5.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.3%
Kevan Pigott 2.9% 3.9% 4.7% 4.4% 4.9% 8.0% 9.6% 10.6% 14.5% 18.0% 18.5%
Adam Sturgeon 2.2% 2.7% 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 7.6% 7.0% 10.0% 12.2% 16.2% 30.3%
John Bennet 2.9% 4.3% 5.3% 6.5% 7.9% 7.4% 10.5% 11.8% 14.7% 15.0% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.