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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+1.43vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.25+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+1.87vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.11+5.22vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.24+0.09vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.18+1.24vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.02-2.65vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.25-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.04-2.03vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.29-2.61vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.27-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Virginia Tech1.150.4%1st Place
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3.98Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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9.22Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
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5.09North Carolina State University-0.240.1%1st Place
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7.24Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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4.35Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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7.23Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Michigan-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.39Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.25Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 35.5% | 24.9% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Lewis | 14.7% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Robert O'Brien | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 18.4% | 44.9% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| John Bennet | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 9.9% |
| Henry Sanders | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Luke LeCoche | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Charles Rogers | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 8.4% |
| Chris Somero | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% |
| Kevan Pigott | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.