← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University-0.24+4.44vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.09+3.02vs Predicted
-
3Miami University-1.27+4.99vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech1.15-1.36vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University0.02-0.26vs Predicted
-
6Denison University-1.18+1.63vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-0.43-1.33vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University0.25-3.85vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-1.25-1.17vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University-1.29-2.23vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan-1.04-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.44North Carolina State University-0.240.1%1st Place
-
5.02University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
-
7.99Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
2.64Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
-
4.74Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
-
7.63Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
-
5.67Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
-
4.15Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
-
7.83Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.77Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
-
7.13University of Michigan-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dockstader | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Drew Blackburn | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Kevan Pigott | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 22.9% |
| Nicholas Brady | 32.2% | 25.7% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| John Bennet | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| Austin Lee | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| William Lewis | 13.9% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Luke LeCoche | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| Chris Somero | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 21.2% |
| Charles Rogers | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.