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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+1.57vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.24+3.28vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.02+1.84vs Predicted
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4Denison University-1.18+3.72vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.27+2.67vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.25-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.09-2.22vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-0.43-2.34vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.29-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.04-2.91vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-1.62-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Virginia Tech1.150.3%1st Place
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5.28North Carolina State University-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.84Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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7.72Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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7.67Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.26Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.66Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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7.81Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Michigan-1.040.0%1st Place
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8.32Ohio State University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 32.2% | 25.6% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| John Bennet | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| Kevan Pigott | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| William Lewis | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Drew Blackburn | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| Austin Lee | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Chris Somero | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| Charles Rogers | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 10.5% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.