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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+1.42vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.25+1.98vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.02+1.61vs Predicted
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4Denison University-1.18+3.41vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.24+0.08vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.27+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.09-2.46vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.29-0.70vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.25-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.04-3.24vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.11-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Virginia Tech1.150.4%1st Place
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3.98Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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4.61Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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7.41Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.08North Carolina State University-0.240.1%1st Place
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7.47Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.3Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.43Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Michigan-1.040.0%1st Place
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9.0Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 35.3% | 25.5% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Lewis | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| John Bennet | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Kevan Pigott | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 13.5% |
| Drew Blackburn | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Chris Somero | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.3% |
| Luke LeCoche | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.3% |
| Charles Rogers | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Robert O'Brien | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.