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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Brady 35.3% 25.5% 17.4% 11.4% 5.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Lewis 14.6% 16.0% 16.5% 16.8% 10.9% 8.9% 7.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Henry Sanders 11.2% 10.9% 13.8% 14.7% 13.4% 12.4% 10.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.8% 0.2%
John Bennet 2.9% 4.4% 4.1% 5.1% 7.7% 8.1% 11.0% 15.3% 16.2% 13.4% 11.8%
Matthew Dockstader 9.2% 11.2% 11.6% 11.7% 12.4% 12.7% 11.7% 7.6% 6.4% 4.5% 1.0%
Kevan Pigott 3.0% 3.9% 4.6% 5.2% 7.6% 8.8% 11.7% 10.7% 14.9% 16.1% 13.5%
Drew Blackburn 11.6% 13.4% 13.8% 12.6% 13.9% 12.8% 8.8% 6.6% 3.4% 2.0% 1.1%
Chris Somero 3.4% 3.6% 5.7% 5.7% 7.5% 11.0% 10.5% 10.7% 14.2% 15.4% 12.3%
Luke LeCoche 3.3% 3.6% 4.7% 6.1% 7.4% 7.9% 11.0% 13.0% 14.9% 14.8% 13.3%
Charles Rogers 4.5% 5.8% 5.4% 7.6% 9.1% 10.2% 10.5% 15.1% 12.7% 11.7% 7.4%
Robert O'Brien 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 3.9% 6.2% 7.7% 10.7% 19.7% 39.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.