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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.02+3.46vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.25+1.92vs Predicted
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3Denison University-1.18+4.30vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15-1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.09-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.04+0.89vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.24-2.18vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.29-0.76vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.62-0.90vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.27-2.75vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.11-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.92Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.3Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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2.47Virginia Tech1.150.4%1st Place
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4.68University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Michigan-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.82North Carolina State University-0.240.1%1st Place
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7.24Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.1Ohio State University-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.25Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.88Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Lewis | 14.2% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Bennet | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% |
| Nicholas Brady | 35.4% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Charles Rogers | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 7.7% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Chris Somero | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 10.6% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 22.7% |
| Kevan Pigott | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 10.1% |
| Robert O'Brien | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.