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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.45+5.54vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+1.23vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.81+2.03vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.55+0.43vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.18+3.11vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.35-2.08vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.75+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.20-2.32vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.30-2.90vs Predicted
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10Denison University-1.90-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-2.46-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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3.23Virginia Tech-0.060.3%1st Place
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5.03Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.43Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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8.11Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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3.92North Carolina State University-0.350.2%1st Place
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7.02Miami University-1.750.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.1Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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7.35Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Marzke | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Gibson | 25.6% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Niall Shannon | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Stacey Nash | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 25.5% |
| Victoria Newberry | 17.4% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| William Ervin | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% |
| Kyle Doyle | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| David Resnick | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| William Griswold | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.