Race 2B

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Victoria Newberry 15.4% 15.9% 15.7% 14.5% 12.6% 11.1% 6.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Nathan Gibson 23.5% 21.1% 15.7% 13.3% 9.2% 7.6% 5.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Brittany Mosgo 9.9% 9.7% 11.5% 11.6% 12.4% 10.4% 11.5% 9.6% 7.1% 4.9% 1.4%
Kyle Doyle 6.8% 7.7% 7.5% 8.3% 10.5% 11.3% 11.2% 12.1% 11.8% 7.4% 5.4%
Niall Shannon 14.7% 13.8% 15.3% 11.8% 11.5% 10.7% 8.9% 6.1% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
Jack Rodman 4.8% 5.3% 6.9% 6.2% 8.7% 7.9% 10.1% 12.9% 11.1% 14.1% 12.0%
William Griswold 4.5% 4.9% 3.8% 5.5% 6.8% 7.8% 9.7% 11.2% 12.4% 17.0% 16.4%
David Resnick 7.5% 6.8% 9.3% 9.8% 9.8% 11.1% 9.2% 11.0% 11.5% 10.1% 3.9%
William Ervin 4.1% 5.5% 4.6% 6.1% 6.6% 7.6% 9.5% 11.9% 13.5% 15.4% 15.2%
Noah Marzke 6.9% 6.5% 7.1% 9.2% 7.7% 9.7% 11.4% 10.4% 13.3% 10.8% 7.0%
Garrett Altenberger 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 6.9% 7.7% 11.1% 16.6% 37.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.