← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University-0.55+3.35vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-0.06+1.22vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-1.20+3.02vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.35-0.03vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-2.18+3.05vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University-0.81-1.09vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-1.30-1.11vs Predicted
-
8Miami University-1.75-0.94vs Predicted
-
9Michigan State University-1.50-2.38vs Predicted
-
10Denison University-1.90-2.64vs Predicted
-
11University of Toledo-2.46-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.35Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.22Virginia Tech-0.060.3%1st Place
-
6.02University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
-
3.97North Carolina State University-0.350.2%1st Place
-
8.05Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
-
4.91Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
-
5.89Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
-
7.06Miami University-1.750.0%1st Place
-
6.62Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
-
7.36Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Shannon | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Gibson | 25.5% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Doyle | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Victoria Newberry | 16.8% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Nash | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 24.8% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| David Resnick | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| William Ervin | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% |
| Jay Weber | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% |
| William Griswold | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 13.4% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.