Race 4B

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nathan Gibson 22.7% 20.0% 14.8% 14.7% 12.5% 7.3% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Brittany Mosgo 10.0% 12.3% 12.1% 11.1% 12.8% 11.8% 9.3% 9.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.2%
Niall Shannon 12.9% 11.9% 14.7% 12.5% 13.2% 11.5% 9.4% 6.9% 4.1% 2.3% 0.6%
William Ervin 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 6.4% 5.2% 7.5% 9.8% 12.3% 15.5% 16.2% 14.6%
Kyle Doyle 7.7% 7.8% 9.3% 9.8% 9.8% 10.1% 11.5% 10.7% 10.1% 8.5% 4.7%
Jack Rodman 4.3% 5.6% 6.1% 5.8% 8.9% 8.6% 11.3% 11.1% 13.3% 13.9% 11.1%
William Griswold 4.5% 4.4% 5.0% 5.2% 5.9% 9.0% 10.0% 10.9% 14.2% 16.6% 14.3%
Jay Weber 6.2% 4.6% 7.9% 8.2% 8.6% 10.3% 10.8% 11.9% 12.5% 11.2% 7.8%
Garrett Altenberger 2.1% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 2.8% 5.1% 6.0% 6.9% 11.0% 17.5% 40.3%
David Resnick 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 9.3% 9.4% 9.9% 11.2% 12.7% 9.9% 8.8% 5.1%
Victoria Newberry 18.6% 18.5% 14.4% 14.1% 10.9% 8.9% 6.6% 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.