Race 5B

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Gibson 31.2% 23.0% 14.5% 12.4% 8.6% 5.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Brittany Mosgo 12.8% 14.0% 15.5% 15.1% 12.5% 9.6% 9.9% 6.8% 2.6% 1.2%
Niall Shannon 17.7% 16.2% 16.3% 15.1% 12.5% 9.6% 7.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Kyle Doyle 6.9% 11.4% 12.5% 11.9% 12.4% 13.6% 12.1% 8.1% 7.9% 3.2%
William Ervin 6.3% 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 7.5% 11.4% 13.0% 14.7% 14.5% 11.3%
Grant Moore 9.1% 8.3% 9.7% 9.6% 12.2% 12.7% 12.0% 11.8% 9.2% 5.4%
Noah Marzke 6.1% 8.2% 8.8% 11.6% 12.6% 11.8% 12.8% 11.4% 10.3% 6.4%
Garrett Altenberger 2.7% 2.5% 4.2% 4.0% 5.6% 8.1% 9.3% 10.9% 17.1% 35.6%
Stacey Nash 3.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 7.0% 9.2% 9.5% 15.2% 19.4% 22.2%
William Griswold 3.8% 5.8% 7.1% 6.9% 9.1% 9.0% 11.1% 16.0% 16.9% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.