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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.06+1.89vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.45+3.84vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.20+2.31vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.75+2.44vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.81-0.74vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.40-0.40vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-0.18vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.60-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.46-1.11vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.55-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Virginia Tech-0.060.3%1st Place
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5.84Michigan State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.44Miami University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.26Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.6Western Michigan University-1.400.1%1st Place
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6.82Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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6.1Ohio State University-1.600.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
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3.85Syracuse University-0.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gibson | 30.1% | 22.5% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Noah Marzke | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Kyle Doyle | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| William Ervin | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Grant Moore | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| William Griswold | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| Jack Rodman | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 9.4% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 39.1% |
| Niall Shannon | 16.1% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.