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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.20+4.05vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-2.46+4.87vs Predicted
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4Denison University-1.90+2.68vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.50+0.71vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.18+1.22vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.81-2.73vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.30-2.72vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.75-2.67vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.55-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.86Virginia Tech-0.060.3%1st Place
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7.87University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
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6.68Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.71Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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7.22Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.27Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.28Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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6.33Miami University-1.750.1%1st Place
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3.73Syracuse University-0.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Doyle | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Nathan Gibson | 30.3% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 37.1% |
| William Griswold | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 13.2% |
| Jay Weber | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Stacey Nash | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 23.2% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| David Resnick | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| William Ervin | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 10.3% |
| Niall Shannon | 17.6% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.