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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.06+1.88vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.55+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-2.46+4.98vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.20+1.25vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.50+0.86vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.81-1.65vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-0.18vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.60-1.92vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.30-3.54vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.75-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Virginia Tech-0.060.3%1st Place
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3.85Syracuse University-0.550.2%1st Place
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7.98University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.86Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.35Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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6.82Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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6.08Ohio State University-1.600.1%1st Place
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5.46Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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6.48Miami University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gibson | 30.1% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Niall Shannon | 16.8% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 40.4% |
| Kyle Doyle | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Jay Weber | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 14.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| William Griswold | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 15.0% |
| Jack Rodman | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% |
| David Resnick | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| William Ervin | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.