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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.48+1.98vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.24+1.28vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.57+1.19vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.43-2.07vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.50+0.58vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.49+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.94-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Rollins College1.480.2%1st Place
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3.28Eckerd College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.19Florida Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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1.93Eckerd College2.430.5%1st Place
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5.58University of South Florida-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.45Embry-Riddle University-1.490.0%1st Place
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3.6University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathon Norcross | 19.6% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Michael Hemberger | 13.0% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Sean Vandedrinck | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 28.6% | 16.9% | 3.9% |
| Walker Banks | 46.3% | 27.2% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mike Hartley | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 14.8% | 44.5% | 23.6% |
| Case Aubin | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 18.6% | 69.1% |
| Kimberly Calnan | 11.1% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 23.5% | 21.2% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.