← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Gibson 29.7% 22.9% 16.5% 12.2% 7.8% 6.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Stacey Nash 4.3% 3.6% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1% 8.4% 10.4% 14.5% 19.1% 23.5%
Brittany Mosgo 13.0% 12.8% 14.8% 14.7% 13.6% 12.3% 8.1% 5.6% 3.9% 1.2%
Niall Shannon 16.9% 18.0% 16.0% 16.1% 12.5% 8.5% 6.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.7%
David Resnick 10.1% 8.7% 10.1% 10.1% 11.6% 13.3% 12.2% 12.6% 7.3% 4.0%
Garrett Altenberger 3.2% 3.7% 4.0% 3.4% 5.6% 6.8% 9.0% 11.3% 18.2% 34.8%
William Ervin 4.7% 5.4% 7.3% 7.1% 11.7% 11.1% 13.0% 14.8% 13.9% 11.0%
Kyle Doyle 8.2% 11.5% 11.7% 11.4% 11.9% 13.6% 11.2% 9.8% 7.1% 3.6%
William Griswold 3.9% 6.2% 5.0% 9.1% 8.9% 9.4% 11.6% 15.6% 15.8% 14.5%
Jay Weber 6.0% 7.2% 9.6% 10.8% 10.3% 10.6% 15.1% 11.4% 12.6% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.