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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.06+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.20+3.27vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.55+0.86vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.50+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-2.46+2.81vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.60+0.07vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-0.17vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.30-2.58vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.81-4.62vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.75-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Virginia Tech-0.060.3%1st Place
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5.27University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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3.86Syracuse University-0.550.2%1st Place
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5.96Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
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6.07Ohio State University-1.600.1%1st Place
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6.83Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.42Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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4.38Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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6.51Miami University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gibson | 29.3% | 23.3% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Doyle | 9.2% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Niall Shannon | 17.3% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jay Weber | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 40.6% |
| Jack Rodman | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 9.3% |
| William Griswold | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| David Resnick | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| William Ervin | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.