← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.09vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.74+3.05vs Predicted
-
3Washington College1.63+2.46vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University1.65+0.48vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.68-0.70vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.12vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University-0.16+2.61vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University0.75-1.15vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.62vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.87-6.15vs Predicted
-
12Webb Institute-0.47-0.56vs Predicted
-
13Monmouth University0.53-4.41vs Predicted
-
14Rutgers University-1.25-0.63vs Predicted
-
15University of Delaware-0.39-3.80vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary-0.98-3.14vs Predicted
-
17Penn State University-0.78-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.09SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
-
5.05Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.46Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
-
5.48Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
5.3Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
-
6.88Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
10.61Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
7.85Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.62SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
4.85University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
-
11.44Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
8.59Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
-
13.37Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
11.2University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
-
12.86William and Mary-0.980.0%1st Place
-
12.35Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 27.8% | 21.7% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.0% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.1% |
| Keen Butcher | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 31.4% |
| Evan Shone | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% |
| Emily Meehan | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.