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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.12vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+3.11vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.68+2.28vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.63+1.50vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.39+5.37vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.75+1.01vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.65-2.77vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.47+2.39vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.16+0.68vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.25+2.33vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.87-7.21vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.78-1.72vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University0.53-6.56vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.98-3.14vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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5.11Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.28Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.5Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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6.8Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.01Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.23Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.39Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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10.68Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.33Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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12.28Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.44Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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12.86William and Mary-0.980.0%1st Place
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11.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 26.5% | 21.4% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 11.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Shone | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.4% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 34.1% |
| Keen Butcher | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 14.2% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Emily Meehan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 21.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.