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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.68+4.18vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.18vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.75+3.92vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+0.20vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.74vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65-1.58vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.63-2.49vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.87-4.31vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.16+0.54vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.39+0.33vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.53-3.50vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.98-0.21vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.25-0.59vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.78-2.77vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.47-4.43vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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7.92Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.2Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.74Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.42Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.51Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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10.54Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.5Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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12.79William and Mary-0.980.0%1st Place
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13.41Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.23Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.57Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Cooper | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 27.7% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam DeVita | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Evan Shone | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Meehan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 23.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 32.6% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.