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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.86vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+2.69vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.63+1.99vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.87-0.58vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.68+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.39+2.76vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.53-1.06vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.68-5.12vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.30vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47-1.05vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.98-0.68vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.62-0.20vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.16-5.04vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.78-4.11vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.51-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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4.69Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.99Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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6.35Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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7.66Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.94Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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4.88Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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11.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.95Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.32William and Mary-0.980.0%1st Place
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13.8Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.96Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.89Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.2Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 29.6% | 22.6% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Keen Butcher | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 4.3% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Evan Shone | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Cooper | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Emily Meehan | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 18.4% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 41.5% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 11.1% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.