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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.28vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.92vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.74+1.62vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.68-0.18vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.63-0.98vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.68+0.52vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.53-1.21vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-0.78+1.59vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.16-1.03vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47-1.20vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.89vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.98-1.81vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.05-2.68vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.51-4.96vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.62-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Pennsylvania1.870.2%1st Place
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2.92SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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4.62Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.26Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.82Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.02Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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7.52Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.79Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.59Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.97Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.8Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.19William and Mary-0.980.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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11.04Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.76Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keen Butcher | 15.9% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 30.6% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 8.4% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Emily Meehan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.3% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.