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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.31vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.93vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.74+1.60vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.68+0.90vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.68+2.52vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.53+2.02vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.75vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.63-4.17vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.16-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.05+1.44vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-0.78-0.42vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.91vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-3.19vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.98-2.90vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.51-4.98vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.62-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of Pennsylvania1.870.1%1st Place
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2.93SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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4.6Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.9Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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7.52Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.02Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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6.25Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.83Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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9.83Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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11.58Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.81Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.1William and Mary-0.980.0%1st Place
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11.02Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.78Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keen Butcher | 13.9% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 29.1% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 17.3% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 9.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Emily Meehan | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.