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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.01+2.00vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.47+4.69vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+0.02vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.67vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.14+3.69vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.17-1.08vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.58-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.95+3.05vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.94+2.11vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.46-1.24vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-2.58vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-1.01-1.63vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-1.05-2.59vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania-0.06-6.70vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.81-5.19vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.21-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Washington College2.010.3%1st Place
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6.69Columbia University0.470.1%1st Place
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3.02Fordham University2.040.3%1st Place
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5.67SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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8.69SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.92Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.52Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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11.11Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.76Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.42Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.37Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.41Princeton University-1.050.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.81William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.27Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew McDermaid | 27.5% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 25.9% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Claudio | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Peter Teague | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Muriel Weathers | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
| Quinn Donohue | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 9.1% |
| Laura Whelan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Nina Willms | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.