← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University-0.65+1.04vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-2.80+2.01vs Predicted
-
3Western Michigan University-1.19-0.48vs Predicted
-
4Saginaw Valley State University-3.37+0.33vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University-0.69-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.04Western Michigan University-0.6536.4%1st Place
-
4.01Michigan State University-2.804.2%1st Place
-
2.52Western Michigan University-1.1921.9%1st Place
-
4.33Saginaw Valley State University-3.373.3%1st Place
-
2.09Western Michigan University-0.6934.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Roudabush | 36.4% | 32.6% | 22.9% | 7.3% | 0.9% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 4.2% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 41.2% | 37.1% |
| Grace VanStratt | 21.9% | 25.9% | 33.3% | 15.8% | 3.1% |
| Piper Luke | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 27.6% | 58.1% |
| Natalie Scherf | 34.2% | 31.9% | 24.9% | 8.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.