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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.48+1.93vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.43-0.11vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.24+0.32vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.57+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.50+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.94-2.29vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.49-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Rollins College1.480.2%1st Place
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1.89Eckerd College2.430.5%1st Place
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3.32Eckerd College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.23Florida Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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5.56University of South Florida-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.71University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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6.36Embry-Riddle University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathon Norcross | 19.8% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 19.6% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Walker Banks | 46.9% | 30.4% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hemberger | 13.5% | 17.0% | 24.8% | 21.8% | 15.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Sean Vandedrinck | 6.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 28.5% | 18.5% | 4.1% |
| Mike Hartley | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 43.0% | 23.7% |
| Kimberly Calnan | 10.6% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 20.1% | 11.6% | 2.0% |
| Case Aubin | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 17.2% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.