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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania-0.06+6.67vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.25vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+1.57vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.01-1.06vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04-2.15vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29+2.51vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.14+1.07vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.24+0.19vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.58-2.96vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.21+3.13vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.81-1.17vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-1.01-1.59vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.46-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.95-3.80vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-3.12-0.44vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.32-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.25SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.57Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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2.94Washington College2.010.3%1st Place
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2.85Fordham University2.040.3%1st Place
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8.51Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.19Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.04Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
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13.13Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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9.83William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.41Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.93Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.56Rutgers University-3.120.0%1st Place
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14.85Princeton University-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Whelan | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.8% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 26.4% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 29.3% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Claudio | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 31.7% | 24.1% | 10.0% |
| Nina Willms | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Muriel Weathers | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Denn | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 11.6% | 34.2% | 39.7% |
| Ernest Ruehl | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 27.6% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.