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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.58+5.13vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.14+6.18vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.25vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.17+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania-0.06+3.10vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.01-3.07vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04-4.05vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.24+0.46vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-0.36vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.46-0.70vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.81-0.80vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-0.70-2.08vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-3.32+0.99vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.95-4.47vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-1.01-5.16vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-3.12-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
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8.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.25SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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2.93Washington College2.010.3%1st Place
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2.95Fordham University2.040.3%1st Place
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8.46Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.64Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.3Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.2William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.92Penn State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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14.99Princeton University-3.320.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.84Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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14.83Rutgers University-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline DelVescovo | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Claudio | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Whelan | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 27.9% | 20.7% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 28.2% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Nina Willms | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Lewis | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Ernest Ruehl | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 32.4% | 51.5% |
| Martha Diezemann | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Muriel Weathers | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 7.5% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Denn | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 36.7% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.