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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+3.58vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+0.91vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.58+3.12vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.01-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.30+3.65vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29+2.67vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-0.06+1.03vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.24+0.28vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.72vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-3.12+4.56vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-1.01-0.46vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.14-3.81vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.21+0.22vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-5.02vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.81-5.87vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.32-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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2.91Fordham University2.040.3%1st Place
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6.12Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
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2.99Washington College2.010.3%1st Place
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8.65University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.67Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.28Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.28SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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14.56Rutgers University-3.120.0%1st Place
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10.54Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.22Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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8.98Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.13William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.89Princeton University-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 28.4% | 22.0% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 25.1% | 23.5% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Whelan | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Denn | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 11.7% | 34.8% | 38.8% |
| Muriel Weathers | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Maisy Claudio | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 30.3% | 25.3% | 10.1% |
| Veronica Lane | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nina Willms | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ernest Ruehl | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 11.0% | 27.6% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.