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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+3.66vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.01+1.05vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04-0.04vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.58+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania-0.06+3.18vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.24+2.79vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.14+1.48vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.46+0.27vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.81+0.24vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-0.70-0.89vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-1.01-1.10vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-4.12vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.90-8.58vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.30-6.25vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.12-1.18vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.32-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.05Washington College2.010.3%1st Place
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2.96Fordham University2.040.3%1st Place
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6.43Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.79Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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9.27Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.24William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.11Penn State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.9Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.88Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.42SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.82Rutgers University-3.120.0%1st Place
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15.05Princeton University-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 26.0% | 24.2% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 27.5% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Whelan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Maisy Claudio | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Nina Willms | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Lewis | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Muriel Weathers | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 9.4% | 0.9% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Denn | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 39.5% | 44.3% |
| Ernest Ruehl | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 32.7% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.