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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+8.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+7.82vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+8.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.74vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+3.27vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96+1.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36+2.53vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24+2.10vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-0.59vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.76-2.07vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-3.83vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-5.49vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.84vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.05-3.26vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.50-6.10vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.99vs Predicted
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20College of Charleston3.09-10.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.82Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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10.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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12.53Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.1University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.41Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.17Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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13.74Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.14College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Maeve White | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Amina Brown | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Riley Legault | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Emma White | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 16.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% |
| Paris Henken | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.