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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.79vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+7.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+6.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+5.22vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+5.51vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.78vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+5.84vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.42vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.50vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.81vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24+2.03vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-0.59vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.92-2.82vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-0.17vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-5.43vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.50-4.21vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.99vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.84-7.66vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.96-9.48vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.22Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.51George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.78Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.84Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.03University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.41Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.18Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.83Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.57Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.79Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.34Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Riley Legault | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Maeve White | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 18.0% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.