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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+7.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+7.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+6.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.55vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+8.57vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+4.12vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+2.30vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.50vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99+0.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.62+5.43vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36+1.31vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24+1.01vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-7.08vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-3.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.47vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.50-4.48vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.87vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.05vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-8.10vs Predicted
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20Stanford University2.92-10.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.57Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.12Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.3Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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15.43Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.31Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.01University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.27George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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10.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.76Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Amina Brown | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 14.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 27.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Maeve White | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.