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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+8.61vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+6.79vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+7.50vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+8.74vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+7.15vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.65vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+6.98vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.83vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.47vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50+1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-1.49vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-7.09vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-4.36vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-5.64vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.62-0.75vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-7.13vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.56vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.20vs Predicted
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20Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.5George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.74University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.15Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.98Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.83Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.76Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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15.25Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Riley Legault | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 28.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.