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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.57+3.16vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.43-0.09vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.50+2.51vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.48-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.94-1.25vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.24-2.69vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.49-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Florida Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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1.91Eckerd College2.430.5%1st Place
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5.51University of South Florida-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.04Rollins College1.480.2%1st Place
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3.75University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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3.31Eckerd College1.240.1%1st Place
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6.33Embry-Riddle University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Vandedrinck | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 26.5% | 17.7% | 4.1% |
| Walker Banks | 45.8% | 30.5% | 14.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mike Hartley | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 40.9% | 25.5% |
| Jonathon Norcross | 17.5% | 19.9% | 25.8% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kimberly Calnan | 9.9% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 23.6% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 2.6% |
| Michael Hemberger | 14.3% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Case Aubin | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 17.6% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.