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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.64vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+7.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+6.81vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+6.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+6.55vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.07vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.28vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-0.24vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-0.34vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-1.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.61vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.05+0.93vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-1.83vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-4.68vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.62-0.71vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.99-7.86vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-5.14vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.38-11.51vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.81Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.03Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.05Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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13.93Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.17Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.32George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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15.29Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.86University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.49Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.01University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Maeve White | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Paris Henken | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Riley Legault | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 28.7% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.