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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.63vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+7.64vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+6.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+5.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+6.55vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+3.71vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+2.66vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.75vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05+4.54vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.88vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-4.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.31vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-1.28vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-4.62vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-8.32vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-7.21vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.36-5.67vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.56vs Predicted
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20Harvard University1.62-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.71Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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13.54Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.72University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.33Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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15.49Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Emma White | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Maeve White | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Amina Brown | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% |
| Paris Henken | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% |
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.