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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.05+12.54vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+7.15vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.72vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+4.33vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+5.72vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+5.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99+1.10vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-0.27vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-2.39vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.36vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-2.78vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-5.09vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-1.18vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-2.29vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.62-0.74vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-6.85vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.92-8.28vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.77vs Predicted
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20Tufts University2.91-10.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.54Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.72Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.55Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.22Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.82University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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12.71University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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15.26Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.15George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Emma White | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 29.6% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Maeve White | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.